Leroy’s College Challenge Week 4

September 30, 2011
  • Week 1: 3-4
  • Week 2: 2-5
  • Week 3:  5-2

Well, well, so this is what a winning week feels like.  I can tell you- it feels good.. real good.

I may or may not have gotten lucky on the Syracuse -2.5 pick considering when I saw the XP go “in”, I knew it had missed. Maybe the gambling gods were simply apologizing for some of the 2nd half meltdowns I have had so far this year (ND v UM, A&M v Okie State), but nonetheless, I’ll take it.

The most underrated bet I had was ULL +17 at FIU. I figured they had a good shot to win outright, but didn’t take a flyer on the +525 ML at all 😦  Either way one of my losses was Arkansas +11.5, but really, how does one handicap a fake FG, INT return and Punt return all for touchdowns?  Hogs probably were never going to win the game, but I could have gotten the cover if those 3 things didn’t happen.

My other loss was the second best meltdown of this young season as A&M took a 20-3 halftime lead at home, only to not score again until the waning moments of the 4th quarter.  Again, I thought I capped this game pretty good, when a Mike Sherman team simply lays down, it really lays down.

I didn’t really like this week’s card on Monday and Tuesday, but when I submitted my picks, I felt pretty good about them.  I also came to a revelation. I usually bet against the public, but since the public has been cleaning up the first month of the season, I have refused to let some of these really easy, but I’m scared to take them because everyone and their Mom is on them, games pass me by, which is why you will see games like Georgia Tech and Alabama on this week’s card.  Hey, if you can’t beat em, join em…

 

My week 4 picks are:

  • Northwestern +7.5 at Illinois
  • Rutgers +2.5 at Syracuse
  • Georgia Tech -9.5 at NC State
  • Colorado -2.5 vs. Washington State
  • Alabama -3.5 at Florida
  • Hawaii +3.5 at La Tech
  • Virginia Tech -6.5 vs. Clemson

 

I fell in love with Duke +3.5 late yesterday, but my picks have already been locked. For the record, I would of taken off Hawaii and put on the Blue Devils, so let’s see how much cash that will cost me at seasons’ end.

Until next week…


Leroy’s College Challenge Week 3

September 23, 2011
  • Week 1: 3-4
  • Week 2: 2-5

 

Not the best week.. of course I write about making sure I go 3-4 or better each week and come out and lay an egg. Still a long way to go, marathon not a sprint and you can definetly afford 1 or 2 2-5 weeks, but have to turn it around this week and I actually like the card.

What’s funny is my 5 losses weren’t even close. Completely mis-read Ole Miss and Mich State, Florida State could have gone either way, Ohio State looked like complete ass and TCU had 1 bad quarter otherwise I would have cashed that one.

 

My week 3 picks are:

  • Syracuse -2.5 vs. Toledo
  • Arkansas +11.5 at Alabama
  • Washington -1.5 vs. Cal
  • UCLA +4.5 vs. Oregon State
  • Texas A&M -4.5 vs. Oklahoma State
  • Arizona State -2.5 vs. USC
  • UL Laf +16.5 at Florida International

 

There were also some leans- I liked Florida State, San Diego State, Oregon and Wyoming, but didn’t know who to take out..

I’d love a 5-2 or better card and feel real good about it..

 

Until next week…

 


Leroy’s College Football Challenge Week 2

September 14, 2011

So should have created a post for week 1, but basically I will keep tabs on how I do each week in the Leroy’s College Football Challenge contest each week.

I finished tied for 5th last year and tied for 1st in the Last 4 weeks mini-contest.  I was surprised to see the amount of entries dip by just over 100 contestants, considering the Hilton’s SuperContest reported record numbers. CFB to me seems way easier to beat and the payoff for finishing in the top 10 off a $250 entry fee is a pretty positive EV.

OK, so Results..

Week 1: Went 3-4.. Lost by 1/2 point on UGA (had them at +2.5 in the contest)- Contest doesn’t allow ties and typically the 3’s, 7’s etc. are chopped down to 2.5’s and 6.5’s. However, I did 1 game by 1/2 point as I had Vandy -2.5 and they won by 3.  Last year I lost 9 games by 1/2 point and didn’t win a single game by 1/2 point, so hopefully the gambling gods are with me this season.

 

Onto week 2:  Just submitted my picks.  They are:

  • Ole Miss -1.5 at Vandy
  • Michigan State +4.5 at Notre Dame
  • Texas Tech -20.5 at New Mexico
  • Illinois -1.5 vs. Arizona State
  • Florida State +3.5 vs. Oklahoma
  • Ohio State +3.5 at Miami
  • TCU -28.5 vs. UL Monroe

Really, the goal in this contest is not to get discouraged and try as best you can not to have a really bad week. One or two 1-6 weeks can really crush you. During the end of October 2010, I had b2b weeks of 2-5 and 1-6 and basically though my contest dreams ended. I finished November with a 5-2, 6-1, 7-0 and 5-2 record which jumped me all the way to 5th.  So consistency is the key here. 4-3 or 3-4 weeks are fine, sprinkle in some 5-2 and a 6-1 and that should be good enough to cash.

 

Will report back on how I did and look ahead to week 3 next week.

Chris